Here’s the first installment of my sixteen part eight for 08 … (which is to say eight to be thrust further into the mainstream plus eight who truly need to be shown the door) - only no politicians.
So here goes …Professor Thomas P.M. Barnett, former Strategic Researcher at the U.S. Naval War College, Esquire editor and author of two must-read books (that is if you just happen to be either a foreign policy nut like yours truly or 2008 presidential contender wannabe) The Pentagon’s New Map and Blueprint for Action and gadfly in general, is probably one of the most important military/strategic thinkers of our day. Which, just in case you haven’t guessed, is why I’m going to spend at least three posts bringing a small slice of his work to your attention. His work, which is squarely focused on the connection between economic development and national security has become deeply influential and deeply controversial inside the Pentagon. And whether or not you agree with what he has to say, Barnett's vision for the future of the U.S. military is well worth hearing.
More importantly, while I often find myself at odds with individual policy prescriptions, like Peter Galbraith’s descriptions of Iraq, Barnett’s titular map has all the force that accuracy can offer. Someone, and yes I mean the junior Senator from Illinois, should consider giving him a job. His full brief runs from 1:30 to 2:45 but the short version I’ll be posting goes something like this …In order to promote peace and stability and thereby combat terrorism; Barnett insists that the U.S. military and its partners must assume a far more ambitious role to police and nation-build in the disconnected parts of the world. To do so, the U.S. military should be divided into two distinct forces: a high-tech military, he refers to as the "Leviathan," a force capable of “taking down” rogue regimes, and a much larger force of follow-up peace-keepers and nation builders he calls "System Administrators."
“The global nuclear threat I grew up with is gone. State-on-state wars of the classical variety (A invades neighbor B) has gone the way of the dinosaur, save for a few states in Africa. We still see the need for the U.S. and coalition partners to play Leviathan regularly, but those wars we’ll win easily, leaving the postwar peace for us to get better at. Those postwar situations will be like most of the remaining violence in the system: featuring transnational and subnational actors, but no real opponent nation-states.
That means we’re down in the weeds, strategically speaking. Yes, our soldiers will be lost, though the numbers will never come close to matching the sort of frequency we suffered in WWII, or even Vietnam, which is–of course–better but not good enough. And yes, there will still be plenty of killing going on in the world, but primarily within dictatorships and failed states, so we’re basically down to the last rotten cases, fairly concentrated in those handful of regions I call the Non-Integrating Gap.
None a serious direct threat to us, save through the extension of transnational terrorism, but all very tough nuts to crack in terms of bringing lasting peace, which only comes with sustainable economic development. I believe we can master even all of those remaining situations within a generation’s time, if America and the rest of the Core commit themselves to “shrinking the Gap” and integrating all those states currently disconnected from, or poorly connected to, the Functioning Core of the global economy (old West plus rising East and South).”
-- Thomas P.M. Barnett
You can check out longer versions of his brief HERE or HERE. (if you have BT)
